Wisdom’s Almanack – How To Predict An Ashes Contest.

Every village cricket club has one. They are all way too old to play anymore and probably weren’t much cop when they did, farmed out to field at fine leg.

These guys are the scorers, nerds who register every dot ball and haven’t missed a match since the Millennium.

Even the TV test match coverage has one, some wizened old git with a beard who barely watches the play but spends the whole 5 days obsessing over their laptop in search of precisely when the last time there was a 5th wicket partnership of 99 not out that was broken by a caught and bowled only to be ruled out due to a no ball.

Capricorn Research has a great deal of sympathy for these folk. My obsession with weird astrology stats of the past as this website will no doubt testify.

When I look into a subject I have a tendency to do it to death and so I start this article with a warning – there are a lot of charts to trawl through.

The 2021 / 22 Ashes has just finished, with a 4 – 0 victory to the Aussies as predicted by me before it started.

I am on a roll with my new country having tipped them as 8 / 1 outsiders to win the recent T20 World Cup.

That prediction was based on the transits of the captain, Aaron Finch.

There were no significant differences between the transits for Pat Cummings, the new Aussie test captain and Joe Root for England. Which is strange when you think about it, but there is a generally more reliable method for picking winners in Test matches anyway.

This is the contest chart method, timed for each test.

In cricket the home side is represented by the Ascendant and its ruler, the away team the Descendant and its ruler.

In most sports, the Ascendant would signify the favourites regardless of home or away status, but in this way test cricket is different.

A cricket tour would generally have the home side as favourites anyway, not least because of the peculiar conditions of weather and the way the pitches are curated to the home teams’ strengths.

When it comes to the Ashes, it’s very unusual for an away series victory. Or at least thats what I tell myself after the latest humiliation of the Poms down under.

The first match of the series often sets the tone. Australia always start in Brisbane, where its hottest to hit the old enemy the hardest coming away from an English winter.

That and as I have pointed out in Astrological Match Fixing Down Under it also guarantees them an Aquarius Ascendant giving them two possible rulers ( Saturn and Uranus ) to their opponents one ( the Sun ).

Jupiter is rising in Aquarius, indicating that Australia are going to take not only this match but the whole series and win the Ashes back.

In contest charts the Moon is the most important planet, because it moves the fastest and will make things happen.

The Moon applies to a close conjunction with Saturn. This is a cast iron guarantee of a home victory and an indicator that has worked every time for years – see Just Like A Conjunction Thats Gonna Win The FA Cup

A home win was clear when the very first ball from fast bowler Mitchell Starc smashed into the stumps of a hapless Rory Burns. A comfortable victory by 9 wickets ensued.

The 2nd test was a day / nighter in Adelaide.

Here its Venus for Australia, Mars and Pluto for England

This is interesting because the Moon applies by trine to both Venus and Pluto, but for horary and contest charts I would favour traditional rulerships.

Also the Moon is exalted in the 1st house so that suggests another home win.

It was another emphatic victory for Australia by 275 runs.

For the 3rd test, the Moon is not applying to either significator.

But there is an exact Jupiter conjunction with the Ascendant which means that this is the test where Australia win the Ashes.

The fact that its a very late degree Ascendant means that the contest is all over, despite the fact that there are still two more matches to play.

Australia won by an innings and reclaimed the Ashes.

The chart for the 4th test is very interesting.

We now have Pisces rising so its Jupiter and Neptune for Australia, Mercury for England.

The Moon is separating from a conjunction with Mercury which means that England cant win it.

But because Jupiter has just moved into the sign of its dignity ( Australia are now holding the Ashes ) an Aquarian Moon cant quite make a conjunction with it so Australia can’t win it either.

So despite looking like making it 4 – 0 for the whole of the match, a desperate rearguard action by England in a rain affected match enabled them to hold on for a draw with one wicket standing.

The chart for the final test didn’t predict the outcome however.

This day / nighter, the first ever Ashes test in Tasmania has the Moon applying to an opposition to Mars and no aspect to Venus which should have given the match to England.

As it turned out England actually made a fight of this one, but still lost by 146 runs inside 3 days.

So why was this contest chart wrong ?

The venue for this one was rearranged from Perth because Western Australia have the only sensible Covid policy in the world with virtually no cases ever recorded and refused to take allow the teams into the state without a quarantine period.

The original chart for the match was this one.

Naturally the Moon is still applying to Mars but the difference in timing meant that the red planet was the home side’s ruler, indicating a clear Australian win.

I have experienced something like this happening before – see A Crack In The Lens Of Time

I’m assuming that the Universe recognised that this Ashes series was the deadest of rubbers and so couldn’t be bothered to adjust for the altered venue.

I got my 4 – 0 Aussie victory anyway.

It is a significant consolation for a Pom down under suffering the inevitable humiliation to have accurately predicted the outcome.

But contrary to popular opinion, we don’t always lose to Australia. Sometimes we draw.

The previous series, back home in 2019 started badly.

As this series was held back home, the Ascendant and ruler become significators of England.

This is as straightforward a contest chart as they come.

The Moon separating from a conjunction with Venus ( England ) and applying to one with Mars ( Australia ) is the clearest indication you can have in a contest chart. A win for the Aussies, which they managed by a margin of 251 runs.

This first chart of the series also looked very likely to point to the ultimate destination for the urn itself, but more of that later.

The Moon applying to oppose both Venus and Mars suggests there would be no winner.

That was exactly as it turned out as the match was a rain affected draw.

There are times when the contest chart doesn’t seem interested.

Venus and Mars are still conjunct, now in Virgo but the Moon is no longer applying to either. In fact there is a wide separating trine aspect to both, but this would have been one to not offer any kind of prediction for.

As it turned out, it was a very close affair which England won by one wicket having completed the highest ever run chase in test matches.

The 4th test has the Venus / Mars conjunction separating.

The Moon is separating from both, but in a case like this the 10 degrees from Mars would not count for much. The 3 degrees from Venus would mean that the match would be moving away from England.

Australia won by 185 runs.

The final test has a change of Ascendant, so now Mars signifies England and Venus for Australia.

The Moon applies to both so it seems that this chart is somehow saying both teams will be advantaged.

The opposition to Mars is much closer so the match would be won by England. So it proved as the home side made it by 135 runs.

The series was drawn 2 – 2, however as the holders from the previous series, the Aussies retained the Ashes, a fact that was shown in the chart by the Moon’s ultimate opposition to Venus for Australia.

And looking back to the chart for the 1st test of the series, we can see the destination for the urn was depicted there.

The previous series in 2017 – 18, began in the usual way.

Back in Brisbane at the beginning of an Australian summer, and therefore back with Aquarius rising giving the Aussies the advantage of having two significators to England’s one.

Which the home side took full advantage of as the Moon applying to a square to Uranus with no relationship with the Sun for England, meant the Aussies won the 1st test by a large 10 wicket margin

The chart for the 2nd test doesn’t give us much to go on. The Moon has no relationship with either Venus or Mars.

Some horary practitioners might posit the Moon’s place in the other Venus ruled sign being an indicator for the Aussies.

I am more inclined to look at the condition of Mars for England, being in detriment and also in the 1st house of the chart which points to England being in the power of Australia.

Australia won by 120 runs. A victory but not quite as one sided as most of them on home soil, which is perhaps signalled by the chart.

But if the last chart was not so clear, this one is as emphatic as they come.

Pisces is now rising which means Jupiter and Neptune for Australia, Mercury for England.

Neptune is dignified is the 1st house showing the Aussies strength, Mercury is in the sign of its detriment showing England’s weakness.

The Moon is applying to a conjunction with Jupiter, it will also trine Neptune. It has no aspect to Mercury.

Australia won by an innings and 41 runs. This was the match that gave them the series and retained the Ashes, a fact that was indicated as the chart was so strong.

The contest was over by the 4th test. A dead rubber is indicated by the last degree on the Ascendant and the Void of Course Moon.

The match was a draw.

The final one of the series has the Moon applying to a square with Jupiter for Australia. Granted the Moon will also make a trine with Mercury for England.

However the overwhelming testimony of this one is the dignified Neptune right on the Ascendant showing that Australia finish on a high.

The home side registered their biggest win of the series by an innings and 123 runs.

I could do a whole Wisden thing and publish contest charts going back to the 19th century, but feel that even my most ardent readers and cricket fans would soon give up their will to live.

So perhaps just to look at a few turning point matches in some series in the recent past instead.

The 2015 series was a strong England victory with the home side taking the Ashes in the 4th test of then series, after having dismissed the tourists for 60 runs in their first innings and winning it by an innings and 76 runs.

Venus for England is closely conjunct Jupiter showing the home side taking the Ashes.

Mars for Australia is in the sign of its fall.

Its true that the Moon makes both a square to Venus and a sextile to Mars, but both of these aspects are a long way off.

Also important not to worry about retrograde planets in this respect. The fact that Venus is retrograde means that not only is the Moon applying to Venus, but Venus is also applying to the Moon.

The main point is the Venus / Jupiter conjunction which won the Ashes.

The 2013 / 14 series was won by Australia 5 – 0, they took the urn in the 3rd one.

This is another emphatic one.

With Pisces rising its Jupiter and Neptune for Australia.

Jupiter is exalted in Cancer. Neptune is dignified in Pisces and right on the Ascendant.

Mercury for England is in detriment.

The Moon applies to sextile Jupiter and makes no aspect with Mercury.

Australia won by 150 runs.

There were two series that year. They also played in England in 2013. The home side won the series 3 – 0 and took the Ashes with the 4th test victory.

This chart shows that as the Moon’s conjunction with Venus gives the urn to the hosts.

Granted both Venus and Mars are in the signs of their fall and the Moon does also make a sextile with Mars but in contest charts the one thing that is an unstoppable indicator of victory is the Moon applying to a conjunction with one team’s significator.

The actual match was quite tight with a 74 run victory which is shown by the other indications above, but the conjunction gave England the trophy.

My feeling is that the contest chart applies very well to any sporting contest, but one thing you can be sure off is that the bigger the occasion the more strongly it plays out in the fortunes of the teams involved.

So any nerdy village cricket club scorer might be tempted to try and astrologically elect a time to start the annual match with their local rivals but I wouldn’t promise success with that approach.

But when it comes to Cup Finals and Ashes series, it definitely reaps dividends.

Posted on January 19th 2022